ACCURATE
PREDICTIONS THAT HELPED
(all these and 100's more predictions are documented at
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ ,
msg# listed here, and double-documented by MSN, Yahoo,
AOL, Topica, ICQ and Google/Usenet at links below)
Most Significant
Accurate Predictions for How Early They Were Made, How Specific, How Accurate
and How Counter-Expected:
100's weekly and monthly for the markets (see below), amazingly
forecasting almost all highs and lows up to a year in advance including economic
reports and specific stocks ane sectors such as this example of many:
1. 1/26/03 (#13): "By
end of 2003: At this point by the end of the year the markets seem to be up
12-14% from the beginning of the year to about 9500, maybe even testing
previous highs near 10,000."
2. continually forecasting major events with no terrorism
3. 2/4/03 (#14)
NKorea seems
determined to continue with their agenda to some degree and even threaten.
4. 3/3/03 (#33):
"It seems certain
the US and more allies than now apparently go into Iraq. Sadam is taken
out. Minimal conflict with the country which seems over quick (Mar03).
The cost of occupying Iraq is soon found out (Apr/May03) to be a lot
more than anticipated and blamed for much of the US economy's
sluggishness. (May/Jun03). Sadam: It doesn't seem he'll stay in any way
or for sure die yet. He just feels gone like he disappears somehow.";
5. 5/7/03: Kerry gets spotlight for Dems;
6. 7/10/03 (#135):
Bush wins
reelection.
7. 9/14/03 (#158): Sadam (will be) found within 30-45 days.
8. 10/7/03 (#165): Schwarzenegger and Recall win
9. 2/8/04 (#185): Kerry/Edwards ticket
10. 8/8/04 (#218): Venezuela Chavez survives recall
11.
10/27/04 (#279): appears Judge Rehnquist will not retire yet but
appears two seats open up during this next Presidential term;
12. comparsions on stock and funds forecasts between top funds and
money managers on
http://proforecasts.com/results.htm
| date | area | prediction | Yahoo msg# |
counter-expected (w/link) |
| (updating daily with the predictions from the last few weeks, ProPredict forecasts over 50 predictions every week!) | ||||
| 12/29/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/29/05 FRI
by 9:25amET (yesterday 88.8%, last 5days
80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 19 pips;
PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (88%); PROFUTURES-Farm (67%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). |
613 | ||
| 12/28/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/28/05 THU by 9:25amET (yesterday 91.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 19 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (67%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 612 | ||
| 12/27/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/27/05 TUE by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 96.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 19 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (86%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 611 | ||
| 12/26/05 | WEEKLY MARKET FORECAST AND LAST WEEK RESULTS: DJIA (10883.27): this week flat/UP; (accurate last week) SP500 (1268.66): this week flat/UP; (accurate last week); Nasdaq (2249.42): this week flat/UP; (accurate last week); TNotes (98-08): this week flat/dn; (accurate last week) PROFORECASTS 12/27/05 TUE by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 100%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 19 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (100%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 610 | ||
| 12/23/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/23/05 FRI by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 92%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 19 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (78%); PROFUTURES-Farm (90%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 609 | ||
| 12/22/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/22/05 THU
by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 92.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+)
Futures: UP 19 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (71%); PROFUTURES-Farm
(100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) . |
608 | ||
| 12/21/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/21/05 WED by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 88.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 212 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (89%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (83%) | 607 | ||
| 12/20/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/20/05 TUE by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 83.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 431 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (71%); PROFUTURES-Farm (63%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 606 | ||
| 12/19/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/19/05 MON
by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 86.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+)
Futures: UP 674 pips; WEEKLY MARKET
FORECAST AND LAST WEEK RESULTS: DJIA (10875.59): this week flat/UP;
(accurate last week) SP500 (1267.32): this week flat/UP; (accurate last
week) Nasdaq (2252.48): this week flat/UP; (accurate last week) TNotes
(98-03): this week flat/dn; (insignificant last week) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy
(60%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (86%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) |
605 | ||
| 12/16/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/16/05 FRI by 9:25amET or earlier; (yesterday 82.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (63%); PROFUTURES-Farm (67%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 604 | ||
| 12/15/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/15/05 THU by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 77.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (88%); PROFUTURES-Farm (43%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (80%) | 603 | ||
| 12/14/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/14/05 WED
by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 88.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+)
Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (78%); PROFUTURES-Farm
(75%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). |
602 | ||
| 12/13/05` | PROFORECASTS 12/13/05 TUE by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 84.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (70%); PROFUTURES-Farm (86%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 601 | ||
| 12/13/05 | Fed will raise rates by
1/4 point today but will change languaging to say it is close to being in check. |
600 | ||
| 12/12/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/12/05 MON by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 89%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; WEEKLY MARKET FORECAST AND LAST WEEK RESULTS: DJIA (10778.58): this week flat/UP; (insignificant last week) SP500 (1259.37): this week flat/UP; (insignificant last week) Nasdaq (2256.73): this week flat/UP; (insignificant last week) TNotes (97-15): this week flat/dn; (accurate last week); PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (70%); PROFUTURES-Farm (86%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 599 | ||
| 12/09/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/09/05 FRI by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 95.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (100%); PROFUTURES-Farm (83%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 598 | ||
| 12/08/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/08/05 THU by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 95%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (80%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 597 | ||
| 12/07/05 | PROFORECASTS 12/07/05 WED by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 100%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (100%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 596 | ||
| 12/06/05` | PROFORECASTS 12/06/05 TUE by 9:25amET or earlier (yesterday 83.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Futures: UP 640 pips; PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (90%); PROFUTURES-Farm (43%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%) | 595 | ||
| all predictions between the
above listing and the last listed here
are at
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ we are publishing them here as we have time. thank you! |
||||
| 9/20/05 | Fed, interest rates | Fed will raise rates by a 1/4 point today but gives "accommodative" language. | 544 | |
| all predictions between the above listing and the last listed here
are at
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ we are publishing them here as we have time. thank you! |
||||
|
PROSTOCKS 1/31/05 TOP10 for subscribers only: 1. ADM, 2. BHP, 3. DELL, 4. DUK, 5. LFL, 6. MVK, 7. SPY, 8. UNH, 9. UPL, 10. VLCCF NEXT TOP 10 for everyone: 11. ATLS, 12. ATVI, 13. BRY, 14. MGG, 15. MTH, 16. RSTI, 17. RYI, 18. TALX, 19. TCBI, 20. VLO |
358 | |||
|
PROSTOCKS 01/22/05 TOP10: AAPL, AEOS, AMMD, ATLS, BRKB, EBAY, LFL, SWN, VLO, XLE OTHER TOP RECOMMENDED: ATVI, BEBE, CBUK, DHI, HDB, KCI, MDC, NTAP, PIXR, RIO, SYNA, TOL |
352 | |||
| Date: Fri Jan 21, 2005 1:36 am
Subject: ProForecast for 1/21/05 DJIA UP! SP500 UP! Nasdaq UP!
(all positions today LONG)
ProForecast for 1/21/05 DJIA UP! SP500 UP! Nasdaq UP! (all positions today LONG) |
350 | |||
| Date: Tue Jan 18, 2005 6:19 am
Subject: RESULTS 2003, 2004, YTD 2005: 41.3% RESULTS 2003, 2004, YTD 2005: 41.3% (annualized 20.2%) Futures 2003 306%, Futures 2004 183%, Futures YTD 2005: 5.245% (annualized 136.37%) Futures Total 494% (annualized 242%) CBS MarketWatch Portfolio 2005: 0.84% (annualized 21.8%) Marketocracy-ProStocks2005: 1.6% (annualized 41.6%) Funds-Conservative: 41.0% (annualized 20.1%) Funds-Aggressive: 42.4% (annualized 20.%) Funds-Speculative: 40.4% (annualized 19.8%) Portfolio-Conservative: 20.2% Portfolio-Aggressive (5% future): 32.3% Portfolio-Speculative (10% futures): 44.4% DJIA: 10588 - 8607.52 = 23% (annualized 11.3%) SP500: 1184.52 - 909.03 = 30% (annualized 14.8%) Nasdaq: 2087.91 - 1384.85 = 50% (annualized 24.9%) BUY: *COMMODITIES INDEX FUND, *EEM, *GLW, AAPL, AEOS, AMAT, ARLP, ASN, ATVI, BG, DHI, EBAY, FSL, LFL, NSC, NTAP, SC, SWN, SYMC, UFCS, UNH, VLO, VMSI, XTO SELLING: ADSK, BRL, BRY, COST, CTSH, CX, INFY, KO, MDC, MXRE, TTF, TWX OVER 1000 STOCKS compared and evaluated weekly from over 30 news sources with over 20 evaluations comparisons (for timing, range, movement) |
346 | |||
| ProStocks 1/11/04 12:30am 1/11/05: KO 41.16, CX 35.33, BRL 47.43, COST 47.32, TTF 9.99, TWX 18.69, MXRE 22.21 | 341 | |||
| Date: Mon Jan 10, 2005 8:13 pm Subject: ProStocks 1/10/04 8pm Stocks recommended by independent investment recommendations: ADSK 34.24, AEOS 48.88, BG 56.05, BRY 44.98, CTSH 39.52, EBAY 107.53, INFY 65.40, LFL 31.75, MDC 86.30, RTSX 18.56, UNH 87.60, VLLY 33.21 | 339 | |||
|
Top10News: 1. Tsunami: death toll ends up 200K, double that with disease, $1B+ in aid; 2. UN/Annan: appears to not be able to get in a leadership role with the Tsunami; 3. Lasers in cockpits: nothing definite yet but evidence of suspected terrorist cells soon (tba); 4. MadCow/Canada: more cases found and alarm goes up; 5. NKorea: nuke threat is real and will be tested soon with no regard to any warnings; 6. US/President: will get tort reform, SS privatization; 7. MiddleEast/Iraq: Iraq election goes ok, new inroads to Arab(Palenstein)/Israel peace soon (tba); 8. Courts: Blake-guilty, Jackson-guilty of lesser charges (endangering minors); 9. Sports: SUGAR BOWL AUBURN over Virginia Tech (see ProSports for all predictions) 10. Entertainment: Fockers stays on top for one more week, breaking records; 11. Business: airlines in more trouble, a major goes under soon (tba); MARKETS: DJIA (10783.01 12/31/04): flat0.5%/dn1%; ST (Feb05): 11,000+; MT (Apr05): 11,500+; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; SP500 (1211.92 12/31/04): flat0.5%/dn1%; ST (Feb05): ; MT (Apr05): ; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; Nasdaq (2175.44 12/31/04): flat0.5%/dn1%; ST (Feb05): 2250+; MT (Apr05): 2350+; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; TNotes (100-08 12/31/04): flat0.5%; ST (Feb05): ; MT (Apr05): ; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; Oil (43.45 12/31/04): ST (Feb05): 40.00; MT (Apr05): 35.00; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; FedRate (2.25 12/31/04): ST (Feb05): 2.50; MT (Apr05): 3.00; LT (3rdQtr05): 3.50; Gold (438.40 12/31/04): ST (Feb05): 425; MT (Apr05): 400; LT (3rdQtr05): forecast coming, seems to be surprise; ECONOMIC-REPORTS this week (consensus): Construction Spending (0.2%): as expected, slightly higher; IMS Mfg (58.2%): as expected; Factory Orders (1.0%): as expected, slightly higher; Auto Sales (5.2M): higher than expected; Light Truck (8.0M): higher than expected; IMS NonMfg (61.0%): as expected; Jobless Claims (335K): as expected; Unemployment (5.4%): as expected, slightly lower; Nonfarm Payrolls (175,000): as expected; Consumer Credit ($6.0B): as expected, slightly higher; RESULTS (Nov 2002-now): Marketocracy: 25.4% annualized (top 56.6%, bottom -0.5%) Futures (MockTrading): 244.5% annualized Portfolio-Conv: 25.4% Portfolio-Aggr: 37.7% Portfolio-Spec: 49.9% (all documented at marketocracy.com and mocktrading.com) SIGNIFICANT PREDICTIONS (most noteworthy and when not apparent, even counter-intuitive): 1. Iraq war start and finish 2. most DJIA, SP500 and Nasdaq highs and lows 3. Sadam disappearing, then being captured 4. Kerry Democratic nominee, Edwards running mate 5. Bush reelected COMPARISONS: Results: Futures (documented at MockTrading.com): 306% 2003, 183% 2004 = annualized 244.5%; Stocks (documented at Marketocracy.com): 2003-2004: 49% = annualized; 25.4% (ranked top 25% of fund advisors), Portfolio: conservative: 25.4%, aggressive(5%futures): 37.7%, speculative(10%futures): 49.9%; NewsFutures: (documented at NewsFutures.com) ranked top 8.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which includes the market's largest blue chip stocks, gained 3.15 percent for the year. The broader Standard & Poor's 500's annual gain: 8.99 percent. If dividends had been reinvested, the total return is 10.87 percent. The Russell 2000 Index closed at 651.57, representing a 16.99 percent gain for the year. Conservative investors who clung to bonds were left behind with returns of just under 6 percent. And there were many in that position, the experts say. http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/10540814.htm?1c ''Investors spent much of 2004 on the sidelines of the stock market, playing a waiting game and investing in bonds and real estate -- areas of the market they believed would deliver a high yield with a lower risk than stocks,'' Ernie Ankrim, chief investment strategist for Russell Investment Group, an investment management and producer of indexes, wrote in a letter to clients today Jan. 1. Fox Business News - Cashin In Challenge 1. Dagen McDowell 13.36%, 2. Jonas Max 6.99%, 3. Jonathan Hoenig 4.00%, 4. Wayne Rogers 3.14% Top Funds: ave 12% http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=a9DE0SbsIkkM&refer=news_in\ dex ``It was a tough year to get the return,'' said Hans Olsen, 42, who manages $2 billion as chief investment officer at Bingham Legg Advisers in Boston. ``In 2004, if you produced market-beating performance, you worked hard to get it.'' Largest Funds: http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/partsub/funds/topfundresults.asp?View=Large\ &Category=4&Symbol=$LRGF 18.31 Vanguard-PrimeCap, 12.52 Vanguard-TotalStock, 12.37 Davis-NYVenture, 11.96 LeggMason-Value, 10.74 Vanguard-500Index, 10.73 Fidelity-Spartan, 9.84 Fidelity-G&I, 7.84 Fidelity, 7.49 Fidelity-Magellan, 5.84 Fidelity-Dividend Top Funds (3yrs): http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/partsub/funds/topfundresults.asp?Category=4\ &Symbol=$HF 19.36 Hartford-CapApprecA, 19.06 Hartford-CapApprecB, 18.32 Gartmore-NationwideA, 17.99 MairsPower-Growth, 17.53 GoldmanSachs-Equity, 17.53 Gartmore-NationwideC, 17.43 Gartmore-NationwideB, 16.03 MorganStanley-Equally, 13.95 CMG-Strategic, 12.55 Tocqueville Top Funds (3mos): (annualized) http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/partsub/funds/topfundresults.asp?Category=4\ &Symbol=$HF 18.70 (74.8) ProFunds-ConsCycInv, 18.34 (73.4) ProFunds-ConsCycSvc, 17.90 (71.6) ProFunds-UltraBull, 17.79 (71.2) Rydex-TitanH, 17.58 (70.3) Rydex-TitanC, 17.58 (70.3) ProFunds-UltraBullSvc, 16.61 ( ) ProFunds-ConsNonCycInv, 16.37 ( ) ProFunds-ConsNonCycSvc, 15.49 ( ) PBHG-Focused, 15.10 (60.4) IMS-Strategic, IBD-100 50.8% =84.7/20x12, IBD-NewAmerica 26.5%=166.0/75x12 |
330 | |||
| PROSTOCKS 1/2/05 9:00amET Results: Futures (documented at MockTrading.com): 306% 2003, 183% 2004 = annualized 244.5%; Stocks (documented at Marketocracy.com): 2003-2004: 49% = annualized; 25.4% (ranked top 25% of fund advisors), Portfolio: conservative: 25.4%, aggressive(5%futures): 37.7%, speculative(10%futures): 49.9%; NewsFutures: (documented at NewsFutures.com) ranked top 8.6%. week3 - TOP STOCKS: for the model-portfolio, we buy 3 shares of 5stars, 2 shares of 4stars, and 1 share of 3stars: 5stars: EBAY, MRK; 4stars: ADSK, BRKB, BZH, GE, HAR, LEH, OMM, PFE, TOL; 3stars: APCC, ATVI, BRY, C, CMVT, CNI, CTSH, DHI, ET, FDG, GMR, GOOG, INFY, INTL, JNJ, KOSP, MER, MFE, MO, NAT, NGS, RES, RIMM, SC, TNP, UFCS, UNH, UPS, USG, VIRL, WIT, XPRSA week2 - TOP STOCKS and results: (12/23-12/31): DJIA 10783.01-10827.12=-44.11 = -0.4% SP500 1213.55-1210.13= 0.2%; Nasdaq 2175.44-2160.62= 0.6%; stocks 1398.88-1383.72=15.16 =1% (annualized 52%); ADSK 37.52 37.95, APCC 20.68 21.40, ATVI 19.62 20.18, BRY 48.62 47.70, BZH 143.55 146.21, CNI 59.65 61.25, CTSH 40.40 42.33, DHI 39.81 40.31, EBAY 113.35 116.34, ET 14.88 14.95, GMR 41.81 39.95, GOOG 187.90 192.79, INPY 68.85 69.31, JNJ 63.60 63.42, MER 59.82 59.77, MRK 31.98 32.14, NAT 39.09 39.05, NGS 9.30 9.43, OMM 18.31 16.85, RES 26.00 25.12, SC 51.20 51.40, TNP 37.66 35.79, TOL 65.95 68.61, UFCS 34.00 33.71, USG 39.49 40.27, VIRL 18.05 18.57, WIT 25.40 24.65, XPRSA 27.23 29.30 week1- TOP STOCKS and results: (702.49): 738.32 UP5% (annualized 260%); (DJIA up1%, SP500 up0.9%, Nasdaq up0.7%); BRY (48.96): 48.62, BZH (144.85): 143.55, EBAY (114.75): 113.35, GMR (44.13): 41.81, GOOG (180.08): 187.90, MRK (31.59): 31.98, NAT (38.26): 39.09, OMM (17.92): 18.31, XPRSA (26.05): 27.23, UPS (85.90) 86.48 |
329 | |||
| Sunday, Jan. 2 (winner on left, home team in caps) NEW ENGLAND San Francisco, BUFFALO Pittsburgh, BALTIMORE Miami, Minnesota WASHINGTON, Cincinnati PHILADELPHIA, CHICAGO Green Bay, CAROLINA New Orleans, Detroit TENNESSE, N.Y. Jets ST. LOUIS, HOUSTON Cleveland, ARIZONA Tampa Bay, SEATTLE Atlanta, DENVER Indianapolis, OAKLAND Jacksonville, Kansas City SAN DIEGO, N.Y. GIANTS Dallas | 328 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/30/04 9:00amET (yesterday 88.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (86%); PROFUTURES-Farm (86%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (83%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 327 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/29/04 9:00amET (yesterday 91.7%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (86%); PROFUTURES-Farm (75%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 326 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/28/04 9:00amET (yesterday 93%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (86%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (86%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 325 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/27/04 9:00amET (yesterday 94.2%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (89%); PROFUTURES-Farm (88%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 324 | |||
| PROSTOCKS 12/27/04 9:00amET
Results:
Futures (documented at MockTrading.com): 306% 2003, 170% 2004 =
annualized 238%;
Stocks (documented at Marketocracy.com): 2003-2004: 47% = annualized;
23.5% (ranked top 25% of fund advisors);
Portfolio: conservative: 23.5% aggressive(5%futures): 35.4%;
speculative(10%futures): 47.3%;
NewsFutures: (documented at NewsFutures.com) ranked top 8.6% last week- TOP STOCKS and results (702.49): 738.32 UP5% (annualized 260%) (DJIA up1%, SP500 up0.9%, Nasdaq up0.7%) BRY (48.96): 48.62, BZH (144.85): 143.55, EBAY (114.75): 113.35, GMR (44.13): 41.81, GOOG (180.08): 187.90, MRK (31.59): 31.98, NAT (38.26): 39.09, OMM (17.92): 18.31, XPRSA (26.05): 27.23, UPS (85.90) 86.48 this week's - TOP STOCKS: ADSK 37.52, APCC 20.68, ATVI 19.62, BRY 48.62, BZH 143.55, CNI 59.65, CTSH 40.40, DHI 39.81, EBAY 113.35, ET 14.88, GMR 41.81, GOOG 187.90, INPY 68.85, JNJ 63.60, MER 59.82, MRK 31.98, NAT 39.09, NGS 9.30, OMM 18.31, RES 26.00, SC 51.20, TNP 37.66, TOL 65.95, UFCS 34.00, USG 39.49, VIRL 18.05, WIT 25.40, XPRSA 27.23 |
323 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/23/04 9:00amET (yesterday 92.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (88%); PROFUTURES-Farm (83%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 322 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/22/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 100%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (100%); PROFUTURES-Farm (100%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). |
321 | |||
| PROSTOCKS 12/18/04 9:00amET TOP STOCKS (with three media-analysts recommendations this week): (9) BRY (SS, Z5, IBD), BZH (SS, Z5, IBD), EBAY (M, SS, IBD, Fox), GMR (M, Z5, IBD),GOOG (Z5, IBD, Fox), MRK (O, Fox, MF), NAT (M, Z5, IBD), OMM (SS, Z5, O), XPRSA (SS, Z5, IBD) GREAT STOCKS (three or more media-analysts recommendations this week): UPS *** GOOD STOCKS (two or more media-analysts recommendations this week): (38) AAPL, ABT, ADSK, AKZOY, APCC,ATVI,,BEBE,BG,BLT,BMHC,BRCM,CCJ,CDIS,CMN,CMTL,CNI,,COO,CPRT, CRDN,,CREE,,CTSH,DECK,DHI,,ET,EXM,FBP,FDG,GGC,GRMN,IIVI,INFY,JNJ, KBH,KOSP,LEND,,LNCB,LSTR,MAT,MCRS,MEOH,MER,MO,,NGS,NSC, NTAP,NVR,OLN,,PBY,PFE,PVT,,REP,RIO,SC,SLE,SRX,THO,TOL,,UFCS, UPL,USG,VIRL,VLCCF,VLO,,WIT |
320 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/21/04 9:00amET (yesterday 87.2%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) NewsFutures: (documented at NewsFutures.com) ranked top 8.6% PROPREDICTIONS-Top10News: (starting this week) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (86%); PROFUTURES-Farm (75%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (88%). | 319 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/20/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 85.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) Freee/documented: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ (time/date stamped by 9am-NY for subscribers, released free to pubic about 12nn) Results: Futures (documented at MockTrading.com): 306% 2003, 170% 2004 = annualized 238% Stocks (documented at Marketocracy.com): 2003-2004: 47% = annualized 23.5% (ranked top 25% of fund advisors) Portfolio: conservative: 23.5% aggressive(5%futures): 35.4% speculative(10%futures): 47.3% NewsFutures: (documented at NewsFutures.com) ranked top 8.6% PROPREDICTIONS-Top10News: (starting this week) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (80%); PROFUTURES-Farm (75%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (88%). |
318 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/17/04 9:00amET (yesterday 90.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (89%); PROFUTURES-Farm (89%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (83%); PROFUTURES-Forex (71%). | 316 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/16/04 9:00amET PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (75%); PROFUTURES-Farm (50%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (80%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 316 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/15/04 9:00amET PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (70%); PROFUTURES-Farm (88%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). | 315 | |||
| PROFORECASTS 12/14/04 9:00amET
PROPREDICTIONS-Economic Reports: Fed: (consensus 25bp increase ton 2.25) as expected Int'l Trade: (consensus -53.5B) as expected Ind Prod: (consensus 0.2%) as expected, slightly higher Cap Ult: (consensus 77.8%) as expected PROPREDICTIONS-Top10News: (starting this week) PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (50%); PROFUTURES-Farm (50%); PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%); PROFUTURES-Forex (100%). |
314 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/13/04 9:00amET (yesterday 84.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (63%); ProFutures-Farm (75%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 313 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/10/04 9:00amET (yesterday 60.8%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (63%); ProFutures-Farm (80%); ProFutures-Curriencies (%); ProFutures-Forex (50%). | 312 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/9/04 9:00amET (yesterday 87.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (%); ProFutures-Farm (%); ProFutures-Curriencies (%); ProFutures-Forex (88%). | 311 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/8/04 9:00amET (yesterday 42.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (86%); ProFutures-Farm (75%); ProFutures-Curriencies (50%); ProFutures-Forex (33%). | 310 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/6/04 9:00amET (yesterday 86.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (83%); ProFutures-Farm (63%); ProFutures-Curriencies (86%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 309 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/3/04 9:00amET (yesterday 77.3%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (63%); ProFutures-Farm (71%); ProFutures-Curriencies (75%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 308 | |||
| PROFUTURES 12/1/04 9:00amET (yesterday 86.5%, last 5days 80%+, history 80%+) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (86%); ProFutures-Farm (80%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 307 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/30/04 9:00amET (yesterday 85%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (90%); ProFutures-Farm (50%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 306 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/24/04 9:00amET (yesterday 86.3%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (70%); ProFutures-Farm (75%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 305 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/23/04 9:00amET (yesterday 89.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (70%); ProFutures-Farm (88%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 304 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/22/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 82.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (80%); ProFutures-Farm (50%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
303 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/19/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 86.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (90%); ProFutures-Farm (63%); ProFutures-Curriencies (83%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
302 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/18/04 9:00amET (yesterday 83.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (63%); ProFutures-Farm (71%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 301 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/15/04 9:00amET (yesterday 90.3%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (75%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 300 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/12/04 9:00amET (yesterday 94%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%)ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (88%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (88%). | 299 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/11/04 9:00amET (yesterday 70%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (57%); ProFutures-Farm (83%); ProFutures-Curriencies (60%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 298 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/10/04 9:00amET (yesterday 84.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (83%); ProFutures-Curriencies (80%); ProFutures-Forex (75%). | 297 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/9/04 9:00amET (yesterday 77.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (88%); ProFutures-Farm (75%); ProFutures-Curriencies (80%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 296 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/8/04 9:00amET (yesterday 87.3%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (78%); ProFutures-Farm (71%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 295 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/5/04 9:00amET (yesterday 97%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (88%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 294 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/4/04 9:00amET (yesterday 87.8%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (63%); ProFutures-Farm (88%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 293 | |||
| Date: Thu Nov 4, 2004 9:47 am Subject: ProFutures-Forex (100%) | 289 | |||
| Date: Thu Nov 4, 2004 9:32 am
Subject: It appears Arafat just passed, they are delaying
announcing it....Blessings!
It appears Arafat just passed (God bless his soul). They are
delaying announcing it to make sure continuity is prepared to minimize any chaos. It should be announced tomorrow or leaked out then announced Saturday. Blessings! |
288 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/3/04 9:00amET (yesterday 84.8%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (86%); ProFutures-Farm (86%); ProFutures-Curriencies (67%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 287 | |||
| Date: Tue Nov 2, 2004 10:52 pm Subject: mid week update DJIA: 10,035.73 UP1% SP500: 1130.56 UP1% Nasdaq: 1984.79 UP1% |
286 | |||
| Date: Tue Nov 2, 2004 11:10 am Subject: Economic Indicators Personal Income (0.3): as expected; Consumer Spending (0.6): as expected; Construction Spending (0.5): as expected; ISM Mfg Index (58.0): as expected; Factory Orders (0.4): as expected; Business Activity Index (57.5): as expected; Auto Sales (5.3M): as expected, slightly higher; Light Truck Sales (8.5M): as expected, slightly higher; Jobless Claims (340K): as expected; Nonfarm Payrolls (160K): as expected, slightly higher; Unemployment (5.4%): as expected; Consumer Credit ($7B): as expected; |
285 | |||
| PROFUTURES 11/2/04 9:00amET (yesterday 81.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (89%); ProFutures-Farm (80%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (57%). | 284 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/29/04 9:00amET (yesterday 97%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (89%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 283 | |||
| Date: Thu Oct 28, 2004 8:47 am Subject: Markets mid-week update MARKETS: DJIA (10,002.03 10/27/04): dn1%; ST (Oct04): 9800+; MT (Dec04): 10,600+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+; SP500 (1125.40 10/27/04): dn1%; Nasdaq (1,969.99 10/27/04): dn1%; ST (Oct04): 1945+; MT (Dec04): 2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+; 10yrNotes (101-11 10/27/04): flat0.5%/up1%. | 282 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/28/04 9:00amET (yesterday 84%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (50%); ProFutures-Farm (86%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 281 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/27/04 9:00amET (yesterday 96%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (85%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 280 | |||
| Presidential Election: still appears as I have
forecast since last year (7/10/03) that Bush wins reelection, no significant terrorism during election, election disputes will continue afterwards but resolved fairly quickly, several lawsuits over voting intimidation and registration manipulation; Bush: appears he gets some significant endorsements this week from a few national and international leaders; Kerry: appears some inconsistency from him and/or his wife is exposed this week; World Series: Sox win, appears to be in 5, maybe 6, games; Terrorism: appears to be no terrorism in US or Europe this week; Iraq: significant Iraqi and US/allies clamp down and response to insurgent areas with pr exposure of the rogue radical factions; Middle East: appears to continue with the tentative peace plan moving forward and border affirmed; DJIA: flat this week, appears markets move up significantly after election; Nasdaq: flat this week, appears markets move up significantly after election; Oil: appears to start to come down from here, appears oil starts coming down marginally after the election; Supreme Court: appears Judge Rehnquist will not retire yet but appears two seats open up during this next Presidential term; |
279 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/26/04 9:00amET (yesterday 86.3%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (78%); ProFutures-Farm (67%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 278 | |||
| Date: Mon Oct 25, 2004 7:19 am
Subject: MARKETS:
DJIA (9757.81 10/22/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 9750+; MT (Dec04):
10,600+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+;
SP500 (1095.74 10/22/04): flat0.5%;
Nasdaq (1,915.14 10/22/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 1915+; MT (Dec04):
2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+;
10yrNotes (102-13 10/22/04): flat0.5%/up1%. ECONOMIC-REPORTS (consensus): Existing Home Sales (6.55M): as expected, slightly higher; Consumer Confidence (94.0): as expected; Durable Goods Orders (0.5%): as expected; New Home Sales (1,150,000): as expected; Jobless Claims (335K): as expected, maybe slightly lower; Employment Costs (1.0%): as expected; GDP (4.3%): as expected; Consumer Sentiment (88.0): as expected; NAPM (59.0): as expected; |
277 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/25/04 9:00amET (yesterday 100%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 276 | |||
| Date: Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:07 am Subject: mid-week update MARKETS: mid-week update MARKETS: Nasdaq (1,953.62 10/21/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 1975+; MT (Dec04): 2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+; | 275 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/22/04 9:00amET (yesterday 94.5%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (77.8%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 274 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/21/04 9:00amET (yesterday 93.7%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (88.9%); ProFutures-Farm (85.7%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 273 | |||
| Subject: mid-week update MARKETS: mid-week update MARKETS: DJIA (9897.62 10/19/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 10,000+; MT (Dec04): 10,500+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+; SP500 (1103.23 10/19/04): flat0.5%; Nasdaq (1,922.90 10/19/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 1950+; MT (Dec04): 2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+; 10yrNotes (101-31 10/19/04): flat0.5%. | 272 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/19/04 9:00amET (yesterday 92.8%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (67%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 271 | |||
| Date: Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:18 am Subject: mid-week update MARKETS: mid-week update MARKETS: DJIA (9956.32 10/18/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 10,250; MT (Dec04): 10,600+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+; SP500 (1114.02 10/18/04): flat0.5%; Nasdaq (1,936.52 10/18/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 1950; MT (Dec04): 2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+; 10yrNotes (101-09 10/15/04): flat0.5%. | 270 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/19/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 91.8%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (67%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
269 | |||
| Date: Mon Oct 18, 2004 6:25 am
Subject: MARKETS:
DJIA (9933.38 10/15/04): dn1%/flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 10,250; MT
(Dec04): 10,600+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+; SP500 (1108.20 10/15/04): dn1%/flat0.5%; Nasdaq (1,919.97 10/15/04): flat0.5%; ST (Oct04): 1950; MT (Dec04): 2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+; 10yrNotes (100-30 10/15/04): flat0.5%/up1%. ECONOMIC-REPORTS (consensus): CPI (0.2%): as expected; CPI less food/energy (0.2%): as expected; Housing Starts (1.95M): as expected, maybe slightly higher; Jobless Claims (345K): as expected, slightly lower; Leading Indicators (-0.1%): as expected; Phil Fed Survey (18.0): as expected; |
266 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/18/04 9:00amET (yesterday 80%, last 5days 80%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (67%); ProFutures-Farm (75%);ProFutures-Curriencies (87.5%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 265 | |||
| Date: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:17 am Subject: slight revision to this week's MarketSignals...Seems I keep getting a week ahead on the markets so to correct that, I'll adjust today for this week and note accuracy for portion of week each forecast applied. MARKETS: DJIA: flat0.5%/up1%; SP500: flat0.5%/up1%; Nasdaq: up1%; 10yrNote: flat0.5%/dn 1% | 264 | |||
| ACCURACY LAST WEEK (10/10/04 to 10/16/04):
100% SP500, Notes; 75% economic reports; 80% futures MARKETS:
DJIA (10,055.20 10/8/04): up1%; ST (Oct04): 10,350; MT (Dec04):
10,600+; LT (2ndQtr05): 11,000+;
SP500 (1122.14 10/8/04): up1%;
Nasdaq (1,919.97 10/8/04): up1%+; ST (Oct04): 1960; MT (Dec04):
2025+; LT (2ndQtr05): 2100+;
10yrNotes (100-30 10/8/04): flat0.5%/dn1%. ECONOMIC-REPORTS (consensus): Int'l Trade (-51.5B): as expected, slightly higher; Jobless Claims (340K): as expected, slightly lower; Producer Prices (0.1%): as expected; Retail Sales (0.7%): as expected, slightly higher; Retail Sales less Autos (0.3%): as expected; Ind Production (0.2%): as expected, slightly higher; Cap Utilization (77.4%): as expected, slightly higher; Consumer Confidence (93.0): as expected; Bus Inventories (0.7%): as expected. |
263 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/11/04 9:00amET (yesterday 80%, last 5days 86.9%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (70%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Curriencies (87.5%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 262 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/8/04 9:00amET (yesterday 86.5%, last 5days 86.9%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (83.3%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 261 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/7/04 9:00amET (yesterday %, last 5days 86.9%, history 87.8%)ProFutures-Finance/Energy (%); ProFutures-Farm (%); ProFutures-Curriencies (%). | 260 | |||
| Date: Thu Oct 7, 2004 7:36 am Subject: ProFutures-Forex (100%): ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 259 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/6/04 9:00amET (yesterday 90.6%, last 5days 86.9%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
258 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/5/04 9:00amET
(yesterday 7.4%, last 5days 86.9%, history 87.8%)
ProFutures-Finance/Energy (71.4%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (50%); ProFutures-Forex (60%). |
257 | |||
| Mt. St. Helen: will erupt late Monday (early
Tuesday) but not with the magnitude expected and with no signficant damage, no loss; |
255 | |||
| PROFUTURES 10/1/04 9:00amET (yesterday 94.1%, last 5days 88.1%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (88.9%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 253 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/30/04 9:00amET (yesterday 80.4%, last 5days 88.1%, history 87.8%): ProFutures-Finance/Energy (90%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 252 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/29/04 9:00amET (yesterday 90.6%, last 5days 88.1%, history 87.8%) ProFutures-Finance/Energy (90%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 250 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/28/04 9:00amET:
yesterday 90.6%, last 5days 88.1%, history 87.8%;
ProFutures-Finance/Energy (90%); ProFutures-Farm (62.5%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
246 | |||
|
MARKETOCRACY-FUNDS: 38.9% to date; annualized 22.2%; ranked top 25% of all Marketocracy fund-managers PORTFOLIO: Conservative (no futures): 22.2% Aggressive (with 5% futures): 33.8% Speculative (with 10% futures): 45.4% FUTURES: 2003: 306%; 2004 so far: 91.07%; (38.36% + 52.71%) annualized 232.4% 27 FUTURES AND 8 CURRENCIES: LAST WEEK: 88.1% click on link for documentation DJIA SP500 AND ECONOMIC-REPORTS THIS WEEK: DJIA (10,047.24 9/24/04): flat0.5%, ST (Oct04): 10,300, MT (Dec04): 10,600+, LT (1stQtr05): 11,000+; SP500 (1110.11 9/24/04): flat0.5%Economic Reports New Home Sales: Consensus 1.115M, as expected, slightly higher; Consumer Confidence: 100.0, as expected, slightly lower; GDP-Real: 3.0%, as expected; Jobless Claims: 340K, as expected, slightly lower; Personal Income: 0.4%, as expected; Consumer Spending: 0.1%, as expected; Consumer Sentiment: 95.8, as expected; Construction Spending: 0.5%, as expected; NASDAQ T-NOTES AND TOP10-NEWS THIS WEEK Nasdaq (1879.48 9/24/04): flat0.5/UP1%, ST (Oct04): 1925+, MT (Dec04): 1975+, LT (1stQtr05): 2050+; 10yrNotes (101-23 9/24/04) flat0.5%Top 10 News 9/26/04: Top10News: BUSH: Stays a few points ahead and is given slight win of the first debate. KERRY: Improves by a few points but campaign still concerned not focused enough. IRAQ: American hostages continues but Iraq security forces and Islamic leaders increasing tough stance on rogue groups. TERRORISM: Appears to be no terrorism in US and Europe and appears no serious terrorism on Nov 4th. OIL: Oil prices start to come down with more action from OPEC and Bush. HURRICANES: Appears no more severe hurricance (3+) for south US. EARTHQUAKES: Appears (4+) earthquake along the line of SF to Mt St Helen. HAITI: Stays in chaos and asks for international support for civil rest. EU: Constitution debate will not be resolved soon and takes alot of negotiation. FUTURES - FINANCE/ENERGY, FARM ProFutures-Finance/Energy (88.9%); ProFutures-Farm (85.7%); CURRENCIES ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). |
245 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/27/04 9:00amET: yesterday 89%, last 5days 88.1%, history 87.8%; ProFutures-Finance/Energy (88.9%); ProFutures-Farm (85.7%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 244 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/24/04 9:00amET: yesterday 86.6%, last 5days 92.5%, history 90.9%; ProFutures-Finance/Energy (75%); ProFutures-Farm (85.7%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Forex (85.7%). | 243 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/23/04 9:00amET: yesterday 95.8%, last 5days 94.36%, history 91.4%; ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Farm (83%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 242 | |||
| PROFUTURES 9/22/04 9:00amET: yesterday %, last 5days 93.4%, history 90.8%; ProFutures-Finance/Energy (80%); ProFutures-Curriencies (87.5%); ProFutures-Farm (100%); ProFutures-Forex (100%): | 241 | |||
| 9/20/04 | FUTURES 97.3% ProFutures-Finance/Energy (100%); ProFutures-Curriencies (100%); ProFutures-Farm (89%); ProFutures-Forex (100%). | 240 | YES $ |
|
| 9/19/04 | click here http://propredictions.com/predictions.htm to see all of this week's predictions on Monday (Tue-Fri futures predictions available) | 239 | ||
| 9/12/04 | DJIA, SP500, T-Notes, Nasdaq, terrorism, Kerry, Bush, economic reports | DJIA: (10,313.07 9/10/04): UP1%; ST (Sept04): 10,300+; MT (Nov04): 10,600+; LT (1stQtr05): 11,000+; SP500: (1,123.92 9/10/04): UP1%; Nasdaq (1,894.31 9/10/04): UP1%; ST (Sept04): 1875+; MT (Nov04): 1950+; LT (1stQtr05): 2025+; 10yrNotes (100-20 9/3/04): flat0.5%; Appears no TERRORISM attacks this week in US or Europe. Appears that BUSH's lead holds this week and KERRY continues to refocus campaign on the defensive. 9/11/04: Retail Sales less autos: Consensus 0.2 %, as expected; ACCURATE Capacity Utilization Rate: Consensus 77.4 %, as expected; ACCURATE Business Inventories: Consensus 0.8 %, as expected; ACCURATE CPI Consensus 0.2 %, as expected; OK CPI less food & energy Consensus 0.2 %, as expected; OK Jobless Claims Consensus 340 K, as expected, slightly lower; ACCURATE Jobless Claims (expected 345K): as expected, slightly higher; ACCURATE Trade Deficit (expected -51.5B): as expected, slightly lower; ACCURATE PPI (expected 0.2%): as expected | 231 | YES $ |
| 9/11/04 | Hurricane Ivan | Hurricane Ivan loses some steam (from 5) and vers West more toward Gulf of Mexico | 230 | |
| 9/5/04 | DJIA, SP500, T-Notes, Nasdaq | DJIA (10,268.68 9/3/04): UP1%; ST (Sept04): 10,300+; MT(Nov04): 10,600+; LT (1stQtr05): 11,000+; S&P500 (1115.58 9/3/04): UP1% NASDAQ (1845.30 9/3/04): UP1%; ST (Sept04): 1875+; MT(Nov04): 1950+; LT (1stQtr05): 2025+; 10YR-NOTE (99-20 9/3/04): flat0.5% | 225 | YES $ |
| 8/29/04 | economic reports, DJIA, SP500, T-Notes, Nasdaq | 75% accurate on 8 economic reports; DJIA (10,195.01 8/27/04): flat/UP1%; ST (Aug/Sept04): 10,300+; MT(Nov04): 10,600+; LT (1stQtr05): 11,000+; S&P500 (1017.77 8/27/04): flat/UP1%; NASDAQ (1852.09 8/27/04): flat/UP1%; ST (Aug/Sept04): 1875+; MT(Nov04): 1950+; LT (1stQtr05): 2025+; 10YR-NOTE (100-06 8/27/04): flat0.5% | 223 | YES $ |
| 8/29/04 | terrorism | Terrorism: US: appears to be no terrorism attacks this week; Europe: appears to be no terrorism attacks this week. | 223 | |
| 8/29/04 | elections Kerry |
Kerry: appears more questions about integrity over past raise doubts about him and defensiveness from his camp. | 223 | |
| 8/29/04 | court-case | Bryant: not guilty. | 223 | |
| 8/22/04 | DJIA, SP500, T-Notes, Nasdaq | DJIA (10110.14 8/20/04): FLAT/up1% ST (Aug/Sept04): 10,300+; MT(Nov04): 10,600+; LT (1stQtr05): 11,000+; S&P500 (1098.35 8/20/04): FLAT/up1%; NASDAQ (1838.02 8/20/04): FLAT/up1%; ST (Aug/Sept04): 1875+; MT(Nov04): 1950+; LT (1stQtr05): 2025+; 10YR-NOTE (100-04 8/20/04): flat/DN 1% This week appears to be confirm this new range (FLAT) with some UP momentum and techs benefit/suffer selectively. | 222 | YES $ |
| 8/22/04 | terrorism elections |
Republican National Convention: appears to go well, no terrorism and protests end up helping (come across too fringe). | 222 | YES :-) |
| 8/15/04 | DJIA, SP500, Nasdaq | DJIA (9825.35 8/13/04): UP 1+% ST(Aug/Sept04): 10,000+; MT(Nov04): 10,500+; LT(1stQtr05): 11,000+; S&P500 (1064.80 8/13/04): UP 1+% This week appears to be UP this week as last week appears to been a solid bottom for the next trend up with blue-chips getting spotlight. NASDAQ (1757.22 8/13/04): UP 1+%; ST (Aug/Sept04): 1800+; MT(Nov04): 1900+; LT (1stQtr05): 2000+; This week appears to be UP this week as last week appears to been a solid bottom for the next trend up with techs benefit/suffer selectively. | 221 | YES $ |
| 8/15/04 | Kerry, Iraq | Kerry: appears Mrs. Heinz-Kerry appears to start causing some distraction and real concern for the campaign. Iraq: appears new Iraqi government takes firm action to bring more peace and security to the rogue unrest. | 219 | |
| 8/8/04 | election, terrorism | Venesuela Chavez: appears to survive recall ballot. There does not appear to be any terrorism in US as warned for the beginning of this week. | 218 | YES :-) |
| 8/7/04 | DJIA, Nasdaq, Google IPO, interest rates, Fed | (9815.33 8/6/04) WK: UP1+%; ST(Aug04): 10,250+; MT(Oct04): 10,500+; LT(4thQtr04): 11,000+; This week appears to be UP this week as last week's sell-off was overdone so the markets will rebalance. This week appears to be UP this week as last week's sell-off was overdone so the markets will rebalance. Google: appears IPO is delayed, questions/concerns asked, first days of IPO are good ($108 to $135+), then taper off with trading (below $100); Interest rates: appears Fed appears to raise 25bp; | 218 | YES $ |
| 8/1/04 | terrorism, Olympics | There does not appear to be any terrorism in the US as warned for the beginning of this week. Olympics in Greece: appears to be no significant terrorism; appears threats/concerns are handled by security. | 216 | YES :-) |
| 7/21/04 | Fed, interest rates | FED appears to raise rates slightly in the next three months and the markets react mostly positive. | 214 | |
| 6/27/04 | DJIA, Iraq handover, Fed, interest rates | While this week obviously appears very volatile with all the news events (update on Wed), it appears that the DJIA and Nasdaq reacts mostly positive to a relatively ok politically handover of Iraq, a 25bp increase by the Fed with indication that it will marginally increase rates over time to respond to inflation concerns and mostly positive economic/earnings reports. | 209 | YES $ |
| 5/30/04 | Fed, interest rates | FED does not appear to raise rates at this time but appears may adjust internal market borrowing influences instead and when they eventually raise rates it appears in August, it is not as much as expected. | 205 | YES $ |
| 5/23/04 | DJIA, Nasdaq | With volatility due to reactions to Iraq, terrorism-concerns, oil and the Fed disrupting any momentum and trend, I have to keep forecasting once there is some momentum started and indicate if it is going to continue. As I forecast the last few weeks, once retesting 10,000 or a bit lower, the uptrend would return. As I forecast the last few weeks, once retesting 1900 or a bit lower, the uptrend would return and it appears to come back rather fast. Some techs will do quite well regaining much of the recently lost gains but tech overall will not have such an uniform trend as in previous cycles. | 204 | |
| 5/16/04 | DJIA, Nasdaq | The Dow appears to want to retest 10,000 again maybe even a bit lower. The Nasdaq appears to want to retest 1900 again, mabye even a bit lower. After the bottom of this correction gets confirmed, markets appear to continue the uptrend with terrorism concerns and potential Fed action keeping any increase tempered with some sideways moves and quick pull-backs. | 203 | YES $ |
| 5/9/04 | stock markets | The Dow appears to want to retest 10,000 now. The Nasdaq appears to want to retest 1900 now. There still seems to be an odd-mix of both high-fliers and big-bombs in tech rather than a real trend. | 201 | YES $ |
| 4/18/04 | stock markets, interest rates, Iraq | MARKETS THIS WEEK: Markets appear to confirm a slight uptrend this week. Fed appears to speak up about no need to touch rates yet giving the markets encouragement. US continues to be under seige in Iraq but it does not appear there are kidnappings of US. More troops being sent/kept until June 30th handover is confirmed. | 198 | YES $ |
| 4/11/04 | stock markets, stock sectors, interest rates | DJIA market appears to continue sideways moves with slight uptrend. Some momentum to move up is buffered by terrorism/Iraq worries and anticipation that Fed will have to raise rates before election Blue-chips seem to be the favored group for now. Nasdaq market appears to continue sideways moves with slight uptrend, perhaps a bit more. Nasdaq has good momentum upward but seems hesitant to let it build yet. Be careful with tech stocks as the don't appear to have any true long-term strength yet. | 197 | YES $ |
| 4/6/04 | stock sectors | Techs continue to struggle with volatility and cloudy potential yet edge up. Blue-chips appear to be in favor for awhile now. | 195 | |
| 3/16/04 | Fed, interest rates, unemployment, Middle East | The Fed doesn't change rates and gives comments the market interprets favorably.Interest rates will stay where they are and unemployment/jobs will start to show some improvement. US will back Sharon's plan for withdrawal of settlers from Gaza and limited West Bank pull-out. | 192 | |
| 3/7/04 | Haiti | Haiti uprising continues does not go away quickly. | 191 | |
| 2/22/04 | stock markets | 30DAYS: This appears to be the beginning of a healthy but moderate correction (pull-back). Appears to be 2-4% pull-back then the upward trend returns for most of the rest of the year. It appears a uptrend confirming the bull market returns within 30-45days. QTR(Feb-Apr): Market recovery solidifies though a bit slow for some with exaggerated volatility. | 187 | YES $ |
| 2/8/04 | stock markets, economy, Kerry/ Edwards, Bush campaign, intelligence investigation | Markets appear to be lackluster with some down pressure this week. This also appears to be the beginning of a healthy but moderate correction (pull-back). 30DAYS: This appears to be the beginning of a healthy but moderate correction (pull-back). Appears to be 2- 3% pull-back then the upward trend returns for most of the rest of the year. QTR(Feb-Apr): Market recovery solidifies though a bit slow for some with exaggerated volatility. Appears to be a Kerry/Edwards ticket for Dems. 2004: Bush's campaign appears to have a "shock and awe" blow to the Democrats. Nothing serious comes out of the "intelligence" investigation except they are relying on too much tech and not enough people on ground. | 185 | YES $ YES @ |
| 1/25/04 | stock markets | MARKETS THIS WEEK: Markets appear to continue their pull-back this week which doesn't turn into a healthy correction yet but seems to set the stage for one in the next few weeks. The markets appear sluggish for the next week or two then triggered into selling-off by some profit-taking from some concerning international financial news. | 183 | YES $ |
| 1/20/04 | stock markets | DJIA (10,600.15 1/17/04): wk: UP1%, ST (Jan): 10,750, MT (Feb): 10,000, LT (2ndQtr04): 11,000 Nasdaq (2140.16 1/17/04): wk: UP1%, ST (Jan): 2175, MT (Feb): 2000, LT (2ndQtr04): 2150+ MARKETS THIS WEEK: Markets appear to continuing showing the upward trend with some initials signs of "two steps forward, one step back". Markets don't appear to have too much more upside without a healthy correction for a bit. Continual moderate confirmations of a recovery leave only how-much how-soon in question. | 182 | YES $ |
| 1/12/04 | markets | Markets appear to continuing showing the upward trend with some initials signs of "two steps forward, one step back". Continual moderate confirmations of a recovery leave only how much how soon in question. Except for a few individual stock exceptions, mostly economy stables, blue-chips and fundamentals gain most favor and promise. | 181 | YES $ |
| 1/5/04 | stock markets, economy, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, oil, China, nanotech, hydrogen/ solar, tv/computer in cell-phones, outsourcing | MARKETS THIS WEEK: Markets appear pleased this week both with earnings and economics so the trend up continues. Some of the enthusiasm is tempered by expectation that a temporary correction might not be too far ahead if some underlying numbers aren't impressive enough. 30DAYS: Confirmation and consensus of recovery heading into decent expansion surface despite some questionable economic numbers and unemployment slowly improving. Terror alerts and/or attempts appear to have some impact temporarily. Iraq gains first signs of independent rule better than worst fear. 2004: Saudi royal family has intense domestic problems giving oil prices some concern. Security fears preempt humanity and privacy issues. OTHER: Getting HOT: China, nanotech, hydrogen/solar fuel, hybrid cars, tv/cell- phone/computer merge into one, outsourcing to India | 180 | YES $ |
| 12/12/03 | stock markets | Markets appear to have a moderate Santa Claus rally edging up slightly before Christmas and into next week though holidays sales being good but not great will temper much enthusiasm. Not much news appears to affect the markets dramatically over the holidays 30DAYS: Markets do well in January confirming the recovery though a bit hesitant at times. | 178 | YES $ |
| 12/7/03 | stock markets | The markets continue up this week on signs of the ok/good holiday sales and continuing decent economic reports. Beginning of end of year profit-taking and announcements will keep the uptrend from getting too much enthusiasm. The market may start to play with 10,000 but I doubt stay above it until we get into the beginning of the new year. | 176 | YES $ |
| 11/11/03 | stock markets, terrorism, economy | Forecasts for Stocks and Futures Markets: The overall market direction and general range seems to be destined by the sum-total of a great deal of long-range macro and micro decisions that would not be altered except temporarily by a free- willed surprise. Since March I have been predicting UP with only temporary DN's (July and September) when the market seems to get ahead of itself (difference between reality and perception in consciousness). This past 30 days and next 30 days, there seems to an third international factor that is more free-willed and when/if it happens will give the markets a temporary but healthy correction before the markets start to return to the uptrend by the end of the year and new highs beginning of next year. 30days: This international third factor seems to be not an attack on the US directly but more on the perceived Western economic and political alliances that includes the US. The plan seems to be somewhat set in motion but the timing is more spontaneous. It seems to be this week or next. I hope to be clearer on the target but at this time I doubt it's on US soil but it seems to be a target on "western alliance friendly soil" that has some criticalness to global financial and/or communication. This does not cause any permanent damage in the markets but seems to make it feel vulnerable and spotlight that the target is not so much the US but western capitalism. (obviously this did not happen but wanted to include it as the later terrorist threats on so many financial centers and buildings on both of US coasts seem to have confirmed this was their next wave of focus) Qtr: As I have been forecasting for months (since March), the bull- trend will continue, returning to the range of old highs 4thQtr this year and going beyond them 1stQtr next year. A good (great in comparison) holiday buying season pushes the market nicely but this year there is some additional volatility in the markets at the end of the year due to additional selling of stocks people have had years of losses in to tax-balance that against some of the gains they have had this year. It appears that the markets are into all- time new highs by February04. | 172 | YES $ YES :-) |
| 11/2/03 | stock markets | 30days: As I have been forecasting for months (since March), the bull-trend will continue, returning to the range of old highs 4thQtr this year and going beyond them 1stQtr next year. Profit-taking will be obvious soon as I predict that we will not break old highs but a healthy correction within 30days is a bit amplified due to an international news event that spooks the markets that I sense is a combined but not centrally-orchestrated resistance effort in Iraq. Qtr: As I have been forecasting for months (since March), the bull-trend will continue, returning to the range of old highs 4thQtr this year and going beyond them 1stQtr next year. A good (great in comparison) holiday buying season pushes the market nicely but this year there is some additional volatility inthe markets at the end of the year due to additional selling of stocks people have had years of losses in to tax-balance that against some of the gains they have had this year. | 171 | YES $ |
| 10/15/03 | terrorism | GlobalWatch was awesomely accurate this week on their forecast (very accurate on location, type, time/day! Updated: 05:35 AM EDT Blast its U.S. Convoy in Gaza Strip By IBRAHIM BARZAK, AP BEIT HANOUN, Gaza Strip (Oct. 15) - A massive explosion ripped through a U.S. diplomatic vehicle in the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, killing at least three Americans, Palestinian officials said. AP-NY-10-15-03 0525EDT see the consenusus of insight at http://propredictions.com/globalwatchvotes.htm and join the discussion at http://groups.yahoo.com/group/globalwatchnet/ Those who gave ur insight, score your accuracy! Great for the 2nd week! | 167 | YES :-) |
| 10/7/03 | stock markets | Market appears to continue up slightly this week and while the move from 9600 to 9200 back to 9500 (1900 to 1800 back to 1875 for Nasdaq) has happened as I predicted weeks ago, I don't sense it's all up from here and there is still more correction yet before a return to the bull-trend. | 165 | |
| 10/7/03 | election CA | The CA recall and Arnold Schwarzenegger wins both by slight margins. | 165 | YES @ |
| 9/18/03 | DJIA, Nasdaq, futures, funds | I am closing out all the long futures positions in DJIA and Nasdaq this morning to lock in 301.48% return (since Apr03 so six months). I also am selling 17 of the 60 stocks in the funds that are over 20% return again (different time-frames, some weeks, a few months) to lock in profits there too. The average of the funds' return (since Apr03) is 26%-31%. I may not reposition any of this cash back into the markets at this time since this is a great return (300% on futures and 26%-31% on stocks) for the year. I'll update everyone next week. | 159 | |
| 9/14/03 | Sadam | Sadam found in weeks. (obviously my timing was early but outcome was accurate) | 158 | |
| 9/9/03 | economy, interest-rates | US ECONOMY: slow recovery especially continuing stiff unemployment, interest rates stay flat till next year | 157 | |
| 9/2/03 | DJIA, Nasdaq | DJIA: (9415.82 8/29) this WK: UP 1%+; ST (Sep03) 9600+; MT (Nov03) 9200+; LT (2ndQtr04) 10,500+; Nasdaq: (1810.45 8/29) this WK: UP 1%+; ST (Sep03) 1750+; MT (Nov03) 1700+; LT (2ndQtr04) 1900+; | 156 | YES $ |
| 7/22/03 | DJIA | The Dow appears to confirm the bottom of the range today. | 143 | |
| 7/18/03 | stock markets, earnings and economic reports, techs | This is the start of a late summer rally of 500+pts. Earnings/economic reports are ok to moderately promising. Just as yesterday showed be balanced in any tech positions and be prepared to sell off any run-ups as the volatility of three steps forward, two steps back will be the pattern. | 141 | YES $ |
| 7/17/03 | Sadam, economy, recovery, Middle East, China | Within 30-45 days, Sadam will be found and his fate will be sealed. This will put the Iraq rebuilding on more solid ground and give the US/coalition troops more secure footing. Economy will slowly start to improve and while keeping much of the herd apprehensive, this will actually prove to be awkwardly healthy for the markets ending the next quarter up nicely. By first quarter of 2004, the economy will be in a clear recovery. Middle East will be seemingly calmer in a roadmap to peace. Terrorism will appear to increase more throughout the world. China will make a step forward as a economic and political world power. | 140 | YES $ YES :-) |
| 7/14/03 | energy | Hydrogen produced mostly from wind/solar will be key energy source in US within 5-10yrs. (accuracy TBA) | 137 | |
| 7/10/03 | elections US | Bush wins reelection. (obviously not proven accurate yet but wanted to show how early some predictions are made) | 135 | |
| 7/10/03 | stock market, DJIA, techs, interest-rates, Japan stock market | Some more pull-back today showing actual strength in the momentum over time. Doesn't appear to go much lower than this (9100-9050) before next run-up. The tech sector is going to give some yo-yo effect for this market, a bit more volatility both up and down. Take profits above 20% as they come and if you like stock long-term, buy-back on dips. INTEREST RATES-will stay where they are at to 1stQtr04 then start up; JAPAN-just starting to bottom, will start recovery 1stQtr04. | 135 | YES $ |
| 7/9/03 | Middle East | Middle East Roadmap to Peace will politically pass and appear to calm down that region only to increase that conflict around the world by rouge soft attacks. | 134 | |
| 7/9/03 | stock markets, stock sectors, interest rates, bonds | Markets continue to do their three-steps forward, two-steps back but as predicted since March a net uptrend. Be careful being on or right after a big up move as it appears there will be a pull-back soon that gives better opportunity. Leading sectors will keep evolving and few will remain more than a quarter. It does not appear the market or leading techs can hold onto to all of this, at least initially. Some big techs will maintain momentum but the volatility in this market appears to increase. It appears the faster up-moves only give proportionally fast pull-backs though a net up as predicted. Interest Rates will start to creep up (mortgage rates now at lowest). Bonds are at top and will be heading down. | 134 | YES $ |
| 7/8/03 | Bush, economy, Sadam | President Bush has successful trip in Africa. Talk of a recovery increases which helps keep consumer spending ok and increases business spending. Sadam Hussein will be found within 30days. | 133 | YES :-) |
| 7/7/03 | stock markets, stock sectors | Today and this week are more sideways than anything else but an upward momentum will start. It appears that within the next six to eight weeks, a late summer rally happens. This is the top of bonds and they come down from here. While this market too will be more sideways at first, upward momentum will appear this week. It appears this market gets top heavy earlier than the DJIA and pull-back harder. Take profits as they come and move from internet, biotech (last quarters leaders as predicted) to large-cap dividends. | 131 | YES $ |
| 7/3/03 | terrorism | No successful terrorism attempts on US during the 4th holiday. | 130 | YES :-) |
| 6/1/03 | economy | Unemployment does not come down fast. Consumer spending barely keeps up while business spending is still slow. Mortgage rates are now at their lowest and will go up from here. | 128 | |
| 6/26/03 | stock markets | I anticipated the sell-off yesterday to happen today and about that amount so it doesn't appear that there is much more pull-back from here (9000, just below 1600). The markets end UP today just slightly. TODAY'S AND THIS WEEK'S MARKET INFLUENCERS: Although the markets appear to end UP today, it appears that today, tomorrow and maybe even the beginning or most of next week is mostly sideways which is a good sign of strength. If the markets hold these levels, then they are going UP...it's just when (I forecast in 5-7 market days, the markets start a 500-pt runup for a summer relay to 9500+, 1700+ in July/August). UPCOMING MARKET DIRECTION: DJIA: ST(weeks) 9000+ by July03; MT(months) 9500+ by Sept03; LT (quarters) 10,500+ by Jan04; NASDAQ: ST(weeks) 1625+ by July03; MT(months) 1715+ by Sept03; LT(quarters) 1800+ by Jan04 | 125 | YES $ |
| 6/25/03 | specific stocks | 3-STARS (with time-frame of fund): CSCO (ST), BR (ST),, TEVA (ST), HPQ (MT), NXTL (MT), SNP (MT), FDCC (MT), NARA (MT), EXC (MT) J* NEM (TS) 2-STAR: CMTL, HOFT, HOV, JBLU, AMGN | 124 | YES $ |
| 6/24/03 | DJIA, Nasdaq | The DJIA doesn't appear to go lower than 9000 thus strengthening that range-bottom and the Nasdaq just dips a bit below 1600 even strengthening that a bit. Just a few days of sideways then 500pts summer rally runup is starting. | 121 | YES $ |
| 6/18/03 | DJIA | There is nice run-up coming soon (500pts to about 9500) but there could be a 5+% pull-back first so I went ahead and closed out the futures positions (now at 110% in 10wks and up 30% in two days) and sold off a few more stocks that were over 20% profit again. | 116 | YES $ |
| 5/30/03 | specific stocks | ST: AMGN, GENZ, IMCL MT: ENZ, ICLR LT: GRMN, MTH TS: AGEN, DNA, GILD, IMCL, KNSY, LGND, MEDI, SP: AMGN, GENZ, IMCL | 99 | YES $ |
| 5/28/03 | stock markets | The next phase is the end of the Bear, beginning of the Bull, summer-rally where some selective stocks at 10-yr lows will have great returns, biotechs will show some momentum. | 95 | |
| 5/28/03 | stock markets | A summer rally is just starting to be factored but there will always be a three-steps forward, two-steps back, volatility to this market. UPCOMING MARKET DIRECTION: DJIA: ST(weeks) 8900+ by July03; MT(months) 9200+ by Sept03; LT (quarters) 10,000+ by Jan04; NASDAQ: ST(weeks) 1575+ by July03; MT(months) 1625+ by Sept03; LT(quarters) 1700+ by Jan04 | 94 | YES $ |
| 5/8/03 | stock markets | While the pull-back will give some reason to be concerned, more confidence for the continual uptrend will build. Expectation of June monetary easing will grow and relatively positive earnings reports with even reassuring conservative projections will increase solidification. | 81 | |
| 5/7/03 | elections Democrats |
Still no Democratic leader for President but Kerry gets some initial spotlight. Bush popularity stays high. | 79 | YES @ |
| 5/7/03 | stock sectors | Tech sector is replaced by Net sector as glamour stocks. | 79 | YES $ |
| 5/6/03 | Fed, interest rates | Earnings reports will be fairly good today(relatively) and even though the Fed will remain neutral, they will indicate a bias for monetary stimulus. | 78 | |
| 4/29/03 | DJIA | The markets are getting ready to go into new ranges past January levels (Dow 8521) and begin setting new levels at from there. Markets continue to create moderate momentum in an uptrend as short-sellers start to cover their positions and then some cash on the side starts to get into the market. | 73 | YES $ |
| 4/25/03 | specific stocks | UPCOMING MARKET INFLUENCERS: DJIA: ST(weeks) 8700+; MT(months) 9100+; LT(quarters) 9500+; NASDAQ: ST(weeks) 1500+; MT(months) 1575+; LT(quarters) 1650+ INVESTMENT TRENDS-ST: 20%+: Getty Images, Apollo Group INVESTMENT TRENDS-MT: 20%+: Microsoft, Merck INVESTMENT TRENDS-LT: 20%+: Citibank, Aetna | 71 | YES $ |
| 4/24/03 | stock markets | I think many will regret not already being more fully positioned and if concerned, hedging a bit more than staying out of the market. | 70 | YES $ |
| 4/23/03 | DJIA |
Dow will be 9500+ by Nov 1st. |
69 | YES $ |
| 4/21/03 | stock sectors | TODAY'S MARKET INFLUENCERS: Some trends with small-caps, regional banks and drug stocks getting some momentum. Selective tech will tick up this week with a technical move up due to return of interest and cash. Some excellent price points in selective stocks. UPCOMING MARKET INFLUENCERS: Gas prices inch down, bonds have topped, interest rates start to edge up, consumer spending hesitant but continuing, business spending is slow, unemployment does not come down alot yet, deficit becomes somewhat acceptable, tax cuts stuck in Congress and cost of security is here to stay. | 67 | YES $ |
| 4/17/03 | DJIA | I think the market has given a strong/clear signal of continual volatility and no strong trend yet but the range of 8200-8300 is the perceived value now and there is uptrend potential that is being tested for any momentum. I don't think you will see these prices on some stocks again in a long time. The markets will begin the phase transition from bear to bull next week, start an anemic uptrend to 9500 by Nov with a small correction during the holidays. | 66 | YES $ |
| 4/16/03 | stock sectors | Drug, bank and some tech lead the gainers at first. | 65 | YES $ |
| 4/14/03 | stock markets | I continue to be more confident that this is the perceived fair value of the market and although it will continue to have swings between volatility and stagnation, it will start a definite but slow uptrend in the next 30-60days. | 63 | YES $ |
| 4/7/03 | DJIA |
TODAY'S MARKET INFLUENCERS: Triumph victory dance gets the war rally
going early and a bit premature as I still get that a bit of trouble is left yet. Markets will ignore what they know are upcoming earning reports later this week and next that will not be that great. It appears the market will rebalance about 8350 for perceived fair value. UPCOMING MARKET INFLUENCERS: This is the end of the bear and while the bull has no legs it is awake and trying to stand up. Sluggish business spending will give it an enemic feeling but expect a 15-20% uptrend to 9600-9900 by end of year with a small correction Nov/Dec. |
58 | YES $ |
| 4/3/03 | DJIA | While the markets seem to start with continuing the uptrend (to about 8350), I don't see it as substainable much further and some profit-taking starts a small correction if not today then by tomorrow. I do think that this does confirm this as the perceived fair value of the market so after the Baghdad confrontation comes to a head, I would expect this to be where the market returns to balance (8100-8250). | 56 | YES $ |
| 4/2/03 | stock sectors | The markets appear to continue to move slightly back up today which again is confirming this is at the bottom of the perceived fair value. The markets also seem to continue focusing more on economic reality vs geopolitical concerns. Be ready to see certain trends already develop: small-caps, certain techs and net, some banks, drug and gaming stocks will lead with some consumer and 10yr low blue-chips following. | 55 | YES $ |
| 4/1/03 |