ARTICLES

articles about Jeff Sonnenburg (aka ProPredict)

"one must be able to predict the market with at least 83% accuracy, a predictive ability that would be extremely difficult for even the best market timer to sustain...If one compares the market timer's return to that of a portfolio of stocks and cash weighted to have the same standard deviation as the market timer's portfolio, the result is that the market timer must be correct 74% of the time in order to perform better than the passive portfolio of the same risk. So even after adjusting for risk, a significant predictive ability still is required." (William Sharpe, "Likely Gains from Market Timing", MBA-Finance Dept).  http://www.quickmba.com/finance/invest/timing/

Investing General Tips:  http://www.consumeraction.gov/caw_investing_general_tips.shtml